Javier Milei holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, reflecting his status as incumbent and La Libertad Avanza's stronger position after the 2025 midterms, even as polls show his first-round support hovering near 30% amid economic pressures including slower growth forecasts and a July inflation uptick. Axel Kicillof trails as the primary Peronist contender, with recent surveys placing him between 15-33% depending on the matchup, supported by his Buenos Aires governorship and national outreach but constrained by internal divisions with Kirchnerist factions. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman register single-digit figures in most 2026 polling, underscoring a fragmented opposition that has yet to consolidate behind a unified alternative. Market pricing captures this early dynamic ahead of formal candidacies and primary processes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJavier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 6.3%
Myriam Bregman 3.4%
$611,675 Vol.
$611,675 Vol.

Javier Milei
51%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
6%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 6.3%
Myriam Bregman 3.4%
$611,675 Vol.
$611,675 Vol.

Javier Milei
51%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
6%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, reflecting his status as incumbent and La Libertad Avanza's stronger position after the 2025 midterms, even as polls show his first-round support hovering near 30% amid economic pressures including slower growth forecasts and a July inflation uptick. Axel Kicillof trails as the primary Peronist contender, with recent surveys placing him between 15-33% depending on the matchup, supported by his Buenos Aires governorship and national outreach but constrained by internal divisions with Kirchnerist factions. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman register single-digit figures in most 2026 polling, underscoring a fragmented opposition that has yet to consolidate behind a unified alternative. Market pricing captures this early dynamic ahead of formal candidacies and primary processes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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