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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine

Javier Milei 51%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 6.4%

Myriam Bregman 2.6%

Polymarket

$614,116 Vol.

Javier Milei 51%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 6.4%

Myriam Bregman 2.6%

Polymarket

$614,116 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$162,718 Vol.

51%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$110,541 Vol.

40%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$55,384 Vol.

6%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$44,653 Vol.

3%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$40,205 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$37,449 Vol.

1%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$41,078 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$26,894 Vol.

<1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$27,766 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$33,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$33,507 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to his incumbency advantage, La Libertad Avanza’s strong 2025 midterm showing, and consistent first-round polling leads of roughly 30-33% against Axel Kicillof’s 25-32%. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show Milei ahead or tied in hypothetical runoffs, reflecting polarized voter blocs and limited opposition consolidation around the Buenos Aires governor. Milei’s approval has fluctuated near 34-40% amid slower growth, renewed inflation pressures, and fallout from cabinet scandals, while Kicillof emerges as the clearest Peronist alternative in most head-to-head tests. Lower probabilities for Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others track their weaker polling and fragmented support. The October 2027 vote remains distant, leaving room for economic or political shifts to alter the current market consensus.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$614,116
Data di fine
24 ott 2027
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to his incumbency advantage, La Libertad Avanza’s strong 2025 midterm showing, and consistent first-round polling leads of roughly 30-33% against Axel Kicillof’s 25-32%. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show Milei ahead or tied in hypothetical runoffs, reflecting polarized voter blocs and limited opposition consolidation around the Buenos Aires governor. Milei’s approval has fluctuated near 34-40% amid slower growth, renewed inflation pressures, and fallout from cabinet scandals, while Kicillof emerges as the clearest Peronist alternative in most head-to-head tests. Lower probabilities for Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others track their weaker polling and fragmented support. The October 2027 vote remains distant, leaving room for economic or political shifts to alter the current market consensus.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$614,116
Data di fine
24 ott 2027
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Javier Milei" a 51%, seguito da "Axel Kicillof" a 40%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 51¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 51% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine" ha generato $614.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine" è "Javier Milei" a 51%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 51% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Axel Kicillof" a 40%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali argentine" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.