Trump’s July 2026 endorsement, paired with House GOP leadership backing and DiLorenzo’s inclusion in the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, shifted momentum toward the self-funded businessman who holds more than $1 million in cash on hand. Melissa Bailey’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement further consolidated support. Hollie Noveletsky, emphasizing manufacturing, borders, and her prior primary run, remains the primary challenger but trails in resources and institutional support. Recent polling shows the race tightening days before the September 8 primary, yet trader consensus reflects DiLorenzo’s structural advantages in fundraising and party alignment while assigning minimal probability to the remaining minor candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthony DiLorenzo 75%
Hollie Noveletsky 26%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$114,039 Vol.
$114,039 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo
75%

Hollie Noveletsky
26%

Melissa Bailey
<1%

Brian Cole
<1%

Elizabeth Girard
<1%
Anthony DiLorenzo 75%
Hollie Noveletsky 26%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$114,039 Vol.
$114,039 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo
75%

Hollie Noveletsky
26%

Melissa Bailey
<1%

Brian Cole
<1%

Elizabeth Girard
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s July 2026 endorsement, paired with House GOP leadership backing and DiLorenzo’s inclusion in the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, shifted momentum toward the self-funded businessman who holds more than $1 million in cash on hand. Melissa Bailey’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement further consolidated support. Hollie Noveletsky, emphasizing manufacturing, borders, and her prior primary run, remains the primary challenger but trails in resources and institutional support. Recent polling shows the race tightening days before the September 8 primary, yet trader consensus reflects DiLorenzo’s structural advantages in fundraising and party alignment while assigning minimal probability to the remaining minor candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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