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Elezioni·Primarie

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Elezioni·Primarie

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 45%

Hollie Noveletsky 28%

Melissa Bailey 6%

Brian Cole 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,117 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 45%

Hollie Noveletsky 28%

Melissa Bailey 6%

Brian Cole 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,117 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo

$979 Vol.

55%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,330 Vol.

28%

Melissa Bailey

$843 Vol.

6%

Brian Cole

$674 Vol.

3%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,291 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NH-01 Republican primary favors Anthony DiLorenzo at 55.5% implied probability, propelled by NH GOP chair Steve Stepanek's mid-March endorsement hailing him as best positioned to end the district's multi-decade Democratic hold through self-funding from his auto group fortune and broad appeal in battleground areas. Challenger Hollie Noveletsky holds steady at 28.5% amid her early April first-quarter fundraising announcement and a March ad criticizing DiLorenzo's past immigration stances as amnesty support, appealing to conservative primary voters. Recent scrutiny of DiLorenzo's prior donations to Democrats has surfaced but not shifted odds significantly. With the September 8 primary approaching, no public polls exist, leaving endorsements and fundraising as key path-to-victory signals for the crowded field including Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,117
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NH-01 Republican primary favors Anthony DiLorenzo at 55.5% implied probability, propelled by NH GOP chair Steve Stepanek's mid-March endorsement hailing him as best positioned to end the district's multi-decade Democratic hold through self-funding from his auto group fortune and broad appeal in battleground areas. Challenger Hollie Noveletsky holds steady at 28.5% amid her early April first-quarter fundraising announcement and a March ad criticizing DiLorenzo's past immigration stances as amnesty support, appealing to conservative primary voters. Recent scrutiny of DiLorenzo's prior donations to Democrats has surfaced but not shifted odds significantly. With the September 8 primary approaching, no public polls exist, leaving endorsements and fundraising as key path-to-victory signals for the crowded field including Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,117
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Anthony DiLorenzo" a 55%, seguito da "Hollie Noveletsky" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $38.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 23, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" è "Anthony DiLorenzo" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Hollie Noveletsky" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.