The Democratic nominee holds an 86.3% implied probability in the NH-01 House race because the district carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and favored the Democratic presidential candidate by two points in 2024. With incumbent Chris Pappas retiring to seek the Senate seat, the September 8 primaries will select replacements in a competitive Democratic field that includes several well-funded contenders, while Republicans face a more fragmented primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat’s structural tilt despite the absence of incumbency. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered that positioning in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,910 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$2,937 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 86.3% implied probability in the NH-01 House race because the district carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and favored the Democratic presidential candidate by two points in 2024. With incumbent Chris Pappas retiring to seek the Senate seat, the September 8 primaries will select replacements in a competitive Democratic field that includes several well-funded contenders, while Republicans face a more fragmented primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat’s structural tilt despite the absence of incumbency. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered that positioning in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$6,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 86.3% implied probability in the NH-01 House race because the district carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and favored the Democratic presidential candidate by two points in 2024. With incumbent Chris Pappas retiring to seek the Senate seat, the September 8 primaries will select replacements in a competitive Democratic field that includes several well-funded contenders, while Republicans face a more fragmented primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat’s structural tilt despite the absence of incumbency. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered that positioning in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds an 86.3% implied probability in the NH-01 House race because the district carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and favored the Democratic presidential candidate by two points in 2024. With incumbent Chris Pappas retiring to seek the Senate seat, the September 8 primaries will select replacements in a competitive Democratic field that includes several well-funded contenders, while Republicans face a more fragmented primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat’s structural tilt despite the absence of incumbency. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered that positioning in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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