South Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, with the party holding it continuously since 2008 and posting a 72-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead, leaving Attorney General Marty Jackley as the Republican nominee after he secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed, while an independent also filed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican given the state’s partisan composition, consistent Republican primary performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving Jackley, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current conditions to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$31,616 Vol.
$31,616 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$31,616 Vol.
$31,616 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$23,928 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$7,688 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, with the party holding it continuously since 2008 and posting a 72-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead, leaving Attorney General Marty Jackley as the Republican nominee after he secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed, while an independent also filed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican given the state’s partisan composition, consistent Republican primary performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving Jackley, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current conditions to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$31,616Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, with the party holding it continuously since 2008 and posting a 72-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead, leaving Attorney General Marty Jackley as the Republican nominee after he secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed, while an independent also filed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican given the state’s partisan composition, consistent Republican primary performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving Jackley, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current conditions to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,616Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, with the party holding it continuously since 2008 and posting a 72-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead, leaving Attorney General Marty Jackley as the Republican nominee after he secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed, while an independent also filed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican given the state’s partisan composition, consistent Republican primary performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving Jackley, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current conditions to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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