South Dakota’s at-large House seat operates in one of the nation’s most Republican-leaning states, where the party has held the district continuously and currently controls a supermajority in the state legislature. The June 2 Republican primary produced a decisive victory for Attorney General Marty Jackley, who received roughly 80 percent of the vote and carries endorsements that reinforce his frontrunner status against Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5 percent Republican probability. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific events between now and the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$7,457 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House seat operates in one of the nation’s most Republican-leaning states, where the party has held the district continuously and currently controls a supermajority in the state legislature. The June 2 Republican primary produced a decisive victory for Attorney General Marty Jackley, who received roughly 80 percent of the vote and carries endorsements that reinforce his frontrunner status against Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5 percent Republican probability. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific events between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,931Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House seat operates in one of the nation’s most Republican-leaning states, where the party has held the district continuously and currently controls a supermajority in the state legislature. The June 2 Republican primary produced a decisive victory for Attorney General Marty Jackley, who received roughly 80 percent of the vote and carries endorsements that reinforce his frontrunner status against Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5 percent Republican probability. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific events between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,931Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large House seat operates in one of the nation’s most Republican-leaning states, where the party has held the district continuously and currently controls a supermajority in the state legislature. The June 2 Republican primary produced a decisive victory for Attorney General Marty Jackley, who received roughly 80 percent of the vote and carries endorsements that reinforce his frontrunner status against Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market’s 93.5 percent Republican probability. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific events between now and the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti