Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched the Republican nomination unopposed with 100% in Texas' 24th District March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold in this Solid Republican-rated seat with R+7 Cook PVI. Her 2024 reelection by 21 points and $2.6 million cash-on-hand dwarf fragmented Democratic primary results, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 runoff amid low turnout. Absent early general polls, markets reflect the district's suburban Dallas Republican lean—stable post-redistricting—and incumbent advantages, pricing GOP victory at 73% as the wisdom of crowds anticipates a comfortable margin in November despite national midterm volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-24 House Election Winner
TX-24 House Election Winner
$20,796 Vol.
$20,796 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
28%
$20,796 Vol.
$20,796 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,524 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$12,272 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched the Republican nomination unopposed with 100% in Texas' 24th District March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold in this Solid Republican-rated seat with R+7 Cook PVI. Her 2024 reelection by 21 points and $2.6 million cash-on-hand dwarf fragmented Democratic primary results, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 runoff amid low turnout. Absent early general polls, markets reflect the district's suburban Dallas Republican lean—stable post-redistricting—and incumbent advantages, pricing GOP victory at 73% as the wisdom of crowds anticipates a comfortable margin in November despite national midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$20,796Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched the Republican nomination unopposed with 100% in Texas' 24th District March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold in this Solid Republican-rated seat with R+7 Cook PVI. Her 2024 reelection by 21 points and $2.6 million cash-on-hand dwarf fragmented Democratic primary results, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 runoff amid low turnout. Absent early general polls, markets reflect the district's suburban Dallas Republican lean—stable post-redistricting—and incumbent advantages, pricing GOP victory at 73% as the wisdom of crowds anticipates a comfortable margin in November despite national midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,796Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched the Republican nomination unopposed with 100% in Texas' 24th District March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold in this Solid Republican-rated seat with R+7 Cook PVI. Her 2024 reelection by 21 points and $2.6 million cash-on-hand dwarf fragmented Democratic primary results, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 runoff amid low turnout. Absent early general polls, markets reflect the district's suburban Dallas Republican lean—stable post-redistricting—and incumbent advantages, pricing GOP victory at 73% as the wisdom of crowds anticipates a comfortable margin in November despite national midterm volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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