Washington's 2nd congressional district has shown consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rick Larsen, first elected in 2000, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against fellow Democrats Devin Hermanson and Tomas Scheel plus Republican Edwin Feller, with no evidence of significant erosion in support or major new challengers emerging. This incumbency edge, combined with the district's suburban and coastal demographics stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. A realistic shift would require a substantial national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal affecting Larsen, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome that narrows the general-election margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$9,389 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,922 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 2nd congressional district has shown consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rick Larsen, first elected in 2000, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against fellow Democrats Devin Hermanson and Tomas Scheel plus Republican Edwin Feller, with no evidence of significant erosion in support or major new challengers emerging. This incumbency edge, combined with the district's suburban and coastal demographics stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. A realistic shift would require a substantial national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal affecting Larsen, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome that narrows the general-election margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 2nd congressional district has shown consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rick Larsen, first elected in 2000, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against fellow Democrats Devin Hermanson and Tomas Scheel plus Republican Edwin Feller, with no evidence of significant erosion in support or major new challengers emerging. This incumbency edge, combined with the district's suburban and coastal demographics stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. A realistic shift would require a substantial national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal affecting Larsen, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome that narrows the general-election margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 2nd congressional district has shown consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rick Larsen, first elected in 2000, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against fellow Democrats Devin Hermanson and Tomas Scheel plus Republican Edwin Feller, with no evidence of significant erosion in support or major new challengers emerging. This incumbency edge, combined with the district's suburban and coastal demographics stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. A realistic shift would require a substantial national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal affecting Larsen, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome that narrows the general-election margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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