David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for the open Wisconsin governorship has solidified trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. The Milwaukee County executive edged Francesca Hong by under one point after polls showed him trailing significantly, aided by late endorsements from party leaders and perceptions of greater electability in the swing state against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. A post-primary poll showed Crowley ahead 48%-44%, shifting some forecasters toward a modest Democratic lean. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces challenges unifying suburban and independent voters in a state with a history of tight gubernatorial contests. The November 3 general election remains more than two months away, leaving room for further shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Wisconsin
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Wisconsin
$269,248 Vol.
$269,248 Vol.
3 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
77%
Tom Tiffany (R)
24%
$269,248 Vol.
$269,248 Vol.
3 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$93,092 Vol.
77%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$176,156 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for the open Wisconsin governorship has solidified trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. The Milwaukee County executive edged Francesca Hong by under one point after polls showed him trailing significantly, aided by late endorsements from party leaders and perceptions of greater electability in the swing state against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. A post-primary poll showed Crowley ahead 48%-44%, shifting some forecasters toward a modest Democratic lean. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces challenges unifying suburban and independent voters in a state with a history of tight gubernatorial contests. The November 3 general election remains more than two months away, leaving room for further shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$269,248Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for the open Wisconsin governorship has solidified trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. The Milwaukee County executive edged Francesca Hong by under one point after polls showed him trailing significantly, aided by late endorsements from party leaders and perceptions of greater electability in the swing state against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. A post-primary poll showed Crowley ahead 48%-44%, shifting some forecasters toward a modest Democratic lean. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces challenges unifying suburban and independent voters in a state with a history of tight gubernatorial contests. The November 3 general election remains more than two months away, leaving room for further shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$269,248Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for the open Wisconsin governorship has solidified trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. The Milwaukee County executive edged Francesca Hong by under one point after polls showed him trailing significantly, aided by late endorsements from party leaders and perceptions of greater electability in the swing state against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. A post-primary poll showed Crowley ahead 48%-44%, shifting some forecasters toward a modest Democratic lean. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces challenges unifying suburban and independent voters in a state with a history of tight gubernatorial contests. The November 3 general election remains more than two months away, leaving room for further shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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