Incumbent Republican Gov. Brad Little's bid for a third term anchors trader consensus at 93.8% for a GOP victory in Idaho's November 3 general election, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid R rating—and historical blowout margins, like Little's 60% win in 2022. The May 19 GOP primary features crowded competition from challengers like Mark Fitzpatrick, backed by recent county Republican central committee endorsements in April, testing Little from the right, while Democrats field Maxine Durand, Jill Kirkham, Terri Pickens, and Chanelle Torrez in a fragmented primary. Absent polls, odds hold firm absent a scandal-plagued nominee or improbable national Democratic wave.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Republican
94%

Democrat
5%

Republican
94%

Democrat
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Brad Little's bid for a third term anchors trader consensus at 93.8% for a GOP victory in Idaho's November 3 general election, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid R rating—and historical blowout margins, like Little's 60% win in 2022. The May 19 GOP primary features crowded competition from challengers like Mark Fitzpatrick, backed by recent county Republican central committee endorsements in April, testing Little from the right, while Democrats field Maxine Durand, Jill Kirkham, Terri Pickens, and Chanelle Torrez in a fragmented primary. Absent polls, odds hold firm absent a scandal-plagued nominee or improbable national Democratic wave.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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