Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The district's urban Cleveland-area composition and voter base have produced reliable Democratic outcomes in recent cycles. A national political shift or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such scenarios have not materialized in prior elections for this seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The district's urban Cleveland-area composition and voter base have produced reliable Democratic outcomes in recent cycles. A national political shift or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such scenarios have not materialized in prior elections for this seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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