Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a deep structural Democratic advantage rooted in its Cleveland-area demographics and D+28 Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched position and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district make such reversals improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$15,629 Vol.
99%
Republican Party
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a deep structural Democratic advantage rooted in its Cleveland-area demographics and D+28 Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched position and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a deep structural Democratic advantage rooted in its Cleveland-area demographics and D+28 Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched position and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a deep structural Democratic advantage rooted in its Cleveland-area demographics and D+28 Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched position and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district make such reversals improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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