Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat's post-redistricting map strengthens Republican advantages across Miami-Dade and Collier County areas with large Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American communities. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, cleared the August 18 Republican primary unopposed and maintains substantial fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Nicole Locklin, the party's nominee after her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors underpin the market's 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, with the Democratic share at 10% reflecting limited competitive pathways absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-26
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-26
$64,799 Vol.
$64,799 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
90%
Partito Democratico
10%
$64,799 Vol.
$64,799 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$30,028 Vol.
90%
Partito Democratico
$34,770 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat's post-redistricting map strengthens Republican advantages across Miami-Dade and Collier County areas with large Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American communities. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, cleared the August 18 Republican primary unopposed and maintains substantial fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Nicole Locklin, the party's nominee after her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors underpin the market's 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, with the Democratic share at 10% reflecting limited competitive pathways absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$64,799Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat's post-redistricting map strengthens Republican advantages across Miami-Dade and Collier County areas with large Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American communities. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, cleared the August 18 Republican primary unopposed and maintains substantial fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Nicole Locklin, the party's nominee after her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors underpin the market's 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, with the Democratic share at 10% reflecting limited competitive pathways absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,799Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat's post-redistricting map strengthens Republican advantages across Miami-Dade and Collier County areas with large Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American communities. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, cleared the August 18 Republican primary unopposed and maintains substantial fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Nicole Locklin, the party's nominee after her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors underpin the market's 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, with the Democratic share at 10% reflecting limited competitive pathways absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti