Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan index and decades without a Democratic general election victory, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. Incumbent Tim Burchett, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026, contest, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and primary positioning ahead of the August 6, 2026, vote. The Democratic nominee, Michaela Barnett, enters with far lower resources and no evident polling momentum to shift the race. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary challenge, late-cycle scandal, or national political realignment capable of narrowing the district's margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics show limited pathways for such shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-02
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-02
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
7%
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$19,235 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$8,807 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan index and decades without a Democratic general election victory, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. Incumbent Tim Burchett, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026, contest, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and primary positioning ahead of the August 6, 2026, vote. The Democratic nominee, Michaela Barnett, enters with far lower resources and no evident polling momentum to shift the race. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary challenge, late-cycle scandal, or national political realignment capable of narrowing the district's margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics show limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$28,042Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan index and decades without a Democratic general election victory, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. Incumbent Tim Burchett, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026, contest, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and primary positioning ahead of the August 6, 2026, vote. The Democratic nominee, Michaela Barnett, enters with far lower resources and no evident polling momentum to shift the race. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary challenge, late-cycle scandal, or national political realignment capable of narrowing the district's margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics show limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,042Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan index and decades without a Democratic general election victory, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. Incumbent Tim Burchett, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026, contest, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and primary positioning ahead of the August 6, 2026, vote. The Democratic nominee, Michaela Barnett, enters with far lower resources and no evident polling momentum to shift the race. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary challenge, late-cycle scandal, or national political realignment capable of narrowing the district's margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics show limited pathways for such shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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