Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-02
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-02
$33,323 Vol.
$33,323 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tim Burchett (R)
96%
Michaela Barnett (D)
6%
$33,323 Vol.
$33,323 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tim Burchett (R)
$20,054 Vol.
96%
Michaela Barnett (D)
$13,269 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,323Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,323Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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