Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and recent mid-decade redistricting that added GOP-leaning territory. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s performance in the 2024 presidential election and the incumbent’s prior victories since flipping the seat in 2020. Both primaries concluded without opposition in August, clearing the path for Giménez against Democrat Phil Ehr. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts and limited polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show no such developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$33,834 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and recent mid-decade redistricting that added GOP-leaning territory. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s performance in the 2024 presidential election and the incumbent’s prior victories since flipping the seat in 2020. Both primaries concluded without opposition in August, clearing the path for Giménez against Democrat Phil Ehr. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts and limited polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show no such developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,564Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and recent mid-decade redistricting that added GOP-leaning territory. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s performance in the 2024 presidential election and the incumbent’s prior victories since flipping the seat in 2020. Both primaries concluded without opposition in August, clearing the path for Giménez against Democrat Phil Ehr. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts and limited polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show no such developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,564Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and recent mid-decade redistricting that added GOP-leaning territory. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s performance in the 2024 presidential election and the incumbent’s prior victories since flipping the seat in 2020. Both primaries concluded without opposition in August, clearing the path for Giménez against Democrat Phil Ehr. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts and limited polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show no such developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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