Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar’s established strength in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus for a GOP victory. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Salazar secured her August 18 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote, while Democrat Eliott Rodriguez prevailed in a competitive primary to become the challenger. Early general election polling showed Salazar competitive or ahead, and the seat’s Miami-Dade footprint features voter demographics that have historically supported Republican candidates. These structural and electoral factors sustain the current 84-15.5 implied probability split ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$23,372 Vol.
$23,372 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$23,372 Vol.
$23,372 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$11,711 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$11,661 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar’s established strength in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus for a GOP victory. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Salazar secured her August 18 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote, while Democrat Eliott Rodriguez prevailed in a competitive primary to become the challenger. Early general election polling showed Salazar competitive or ahead, and the seat’s Miami-Dade footprint features voter demographics that have historically supported Republican candidates. These structural and electoral factors sustain the current 84-15.5 implied probability split ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$23,372Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar’s established strength in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus for a GOP victory. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Salazar secured her August 18 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote, while Democrat Eliott Rodriguez prevailed in a competitive primary to become the challenger. Early general election polling showed Salazar competitive or ahead, and the seat’s Miami-Dade footprint features voter demographics that have historically supported Republican candidates. These structural and electoral factors sustain the current 84-15.5 implied probability split ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,372Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar’s established strength in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus for a GOP victory. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Salazar secured her August 18 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote, while Democrat Eliott Rodriguez prevailed in a competitive primary to become the challenger. Early general election polling showed Salazar competitive or ahead, and the seat’s Miami-Dade footprint features voter demographics that have historically supported Republican candidates. These structural and electoral factors sustain the current 84-15.5 implied probability split ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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