Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field led by Joe Males. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voter registration advantage, combined with Ruiz's established incumbency and the area's large Hispanic population, underpins the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Traders view the seat as solidly out of reach absent an extraordinary national Republican surge, a late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the Inland Empire.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-25 House Election Winner
CA-25 House Election Winner
$17,667 Vol.
$17,667 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$17,667 Vol.
$17,667 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,477 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,190 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field led by Joe Males. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voter registration advantage, combined with Ruiz's established incumbency and the area's large Hispanic population, underpins the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Traders view the seat as solidly out of reach absent an extraordinary national Republican surge, a late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the Inland Empire.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$17,667Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field led by Joe Males. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voter registration advantage, combined with Ruiz's established incumbency and the area's large Hispanic population, underpins the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Traders view the seat as solidly out of reach absent an extraordinary national Republican surge, a late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the Inland Empire.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,667Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field led by Joe Males. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voter registration advantage, combined with Ruiz's established incumbency and the area's large Hispanic population, underpins the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Traders view the seat as solidly out of reach absent an extraordinary national Republican surge, a late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the Inland Empire.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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