Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, buoyed by her role since assuming office in January after Rumen Radev's resignation to launch a new party now topping snap parliamentary polls ahead of April 19 voting. This continuity appeals amid the eighth parliamentary election since 2021, triggered by Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 government collapse over anti-corruption protests. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria bloc, trails at 26.5% on reformist momentum despite coalition strains. GERB's Zhelyazkov at 13% faces fallout from recent instability, while fragmented fields favor top contenders in the two-round direct vote. Parliamentary outcomes could reshape alliances and endorsements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.7%
$63,749 Vol.
$63,749 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.7%
$63,749 Vol.
$63,749 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, buoyed by her role since assuming office in January after Rumen Radev's resignation to launch a new party now topping snap parliamentary polls ahead of April 19 voting. This continuity appeals amid the eighth parliamentary election since 2021, triggered by Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 government collapse over anti-corruption protests. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria bloc, trails at 26.5% on reformist momentum despite coalition strains. GERB's Zhelyazkov at 13% faces fallout from recent instability, while fragmented fields favor top contenders in the two-round direct vote. Parliamentary outcomes could reshape alliances and endorsements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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