Recent polling ahead of the October 24 snap election shows the BC NDP and Conservatives trading first and second in popular vote support at roughly 41-45% and 35-37%, respectively, while the BC Greens hold steady at 10-13%. This leaves the Greens as the clearest contender for third place in seats under first-past-the-post rules. Conservative caucus defections to CentreBC and OneBC, coupled with recent leadership turnover, have fragmented the right-wing vote and reduced the chance that splinter groups surpass the Greens in seat totals. Traders assign the Greens a dominant 76% implied probability for third place, with NDP, Conservatives, OneBC, and CentreBC all trading well below 15%, reflecting the limited path for any other party to finish ahead of the Greens in the current fragmented landscape.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVerdi 76%
Conservatore 24%
NDP 14%
CentreBC 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ott 2026
Verdi
76%
Conservatore
24%
NDP
14%
CentreBC
13%
OneBC
13%
Verdi 76%
Conservatore 24%
NDP 14%
CentreBC 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ott 2026
Verdi
$120 Vol.
76%
Conservatore
$0 Vol.
24%
NDP
$0 Vol.
14%
CentreBC
$0 Vol.
13%
OneBC
$0 Vol.
13%
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polling ahead of the October 24 snap election shows the BC NDP and Conservatives trading first and second in popular vote support at roughly 41-45% and 35-37%, respectively, while the BC Greens hold steady at 10-13%. This leaves the Greens as the clearest contender for third place in seats under first-past-the-post rules. Conservative caucus defections to CentreBC and OneBC, coupled with recent leadership turnover, have fragmented the right-wing vote and reduced the chance that splinter groups surpass the Greens in seat totals. Traders assign the Greens a dominant 76% implied probability for third place, with NDP, Conservatives, OneBC, and CentreBC all trading well below 15%, reflecting the limited path for any other party to finish ahead of the Greens in the current fragmented landscape.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ET
Volume
$120Data di fine
24 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polling ahead of the October 24 snap election shows the BC NDP and Conservatives trading first and second in popular vote support at roughly 41-45% and 35-37%, respectively, while the BC Greens hold steady at 10-13%. This leaves the Greens as the clearest contender for third place in seats under first-past-the-post rules. Conservative caucus defections to CentreBC and OneBC, coupled with recent leadership turnover, have fragmented the right-wing vote and reduced the chance that splinter groups surpass the Greens in seat totals. Traders assign the Greens a dominant 76% implied probability for third place, with NDP, Conservatives, OneBC, and CentreBC all trading well below 15%, reflecting the limited path for any other party to finish ahead of the Greens in the current fragmented landscape.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$120Data di fine
24 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the October 24 snap election shows the BC NDP and Conservatives trading first and second in popular vote support at roughly 41-45% and 35-37%, respectively, while the BC Greens hold steady at 10-13%. This leaves the Greens as the clearest contender for third place in seats under first-past-the-post rules. Conservative caucus defections to CentreBC and OneBC, coupled with recent leadership turnover, have fragmented the right-wing vote and reduced the chance that splinter groups surpass the Greens in seat totals. Traders assign the Greens a dominant 76% implied probability for third place, with NDP, Conservatives, OneBC, and CentreBC all trading well below 15%, reflecting the limited path for any other party to finish ahead of the Greens in the current fragmented landscape.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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