Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after topping the August 18 top-four primary with nearly 49.5% of the vote to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, advancing both alongside a second Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie. Recent polls show the matchup essentially tied or tilting narrowly toward Peltola in the November general election, which uses ranked-choice voting. Her primary strength, prior House success under the same system, and fundraising edge have supported her position, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state’s Republican lean. Minor candidates could influence second-choice distributions in the final round, keeping the contest competitive into the fall.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Alaska
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Alaska
Mary Peltola 65%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 35%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$461,057 Vol.
$461,057 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mary Peltola
65%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
35%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 65%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 35%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$461,057 Vol.
$461,057 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mary Peltola
$240,043 Vol.
65%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
$136,132 Vol.
35%
Dustin Darden
$23,336 Vol.
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
$0 Vol.
<1%
Ann Diener
$36,064 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grayson
$23,919 Vol.
<1%
David Leslie
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after topping the August 18 top-four primary with nearly 49.5% of the vote to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, advancing both alongside a second Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie. Recent polls show the matchup essentially tied or tilting narrowly toward Peltola in the November general election, which uses ranked-choice voting. Her primary strength, prior House success under the same system, and fundraising edge have supported her position, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state’s Republican lean. Minor candidates could influence second-choice distributions in the final round, keeping the contest competitive into the fall.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$461,057Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after topping the August 18 top-four primary with nearly 49.5% of the vote to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, advancing both alongside a second Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie. Recent polls show the matchup essentially tied or tilting narrowly toward Peltola in the November general election, which uses ranked-choice voting. Her primary strength, prior House success under the same system, and fundraising edge have supported her position, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state’s Republican lean. Minor candidates could influence second-choice distributions in the final round, keeping the contest competitive into the fall.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$461,057Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after topping the August 18 top-four primary with nearly 49.5% of the vote to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, advancing both alongside a second Republican named Dan Sullivan and Democrat David Leslie. Recent polls show the matchup essentially tied or tilting narrowly toward Peltola in the November general election, which uses ranked-choice voting. Her primary strength, prior House success under the same system, and fundraising edge have supported her position, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state’s Republican lean. Minor candidates could influence second-choice distributions in the final round, keeping the contest competitive into the fall.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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