In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus prices Bernadette Wilson highest at 30.5% to win the November 3 ranked-choice general election following the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, edging Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5%, despite a March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showing Begich leading the primary at 19% to Wilson's 14% amid 47% undecideds and a fragmented Republican field of over a dozen candidates. GOP vote-splitting favors Democratic advancement, keeping the race tight, but Wilson's early frontrunner status among conservatives—bolstered by endorsements like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and strong February fundraising—drives her edge on perceived general election strength under ranked-choice voting. Upcoming debates, further polls, and endorsements could consolidate support and create separation before the primary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%
$821,940 Vol.
$821,940 Vol.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
15%
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%
$821,940 Vol.
$821,940 Vol.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
15%
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus prices Bernadette Wilson highest at 30.5% to win the November 3 ranked-choice general election following the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, edging Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5%, despite a March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showing Begich leading the primary at 19% to Wilson's 14% amid 47% undecideds and a fragmented Republican field of over a dozen candidates. GOP vote-splitting favors Democratic advancement, keeping the race tight, but Wilson's early frontrunner status among conservatives—bolstered by endorsements like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and strong February fundraising—drives her edge on perceived general election strength under ranked-choice voting. Upcoming debates, further polls, and endorsements could consolidate support and create separation before the primary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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