Texas's 10th congressional district features a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating from the Cook Political Report and recent election margins favoring the party. Incumbent Michael McCaul's retirement created an open seat, but Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 2026 primary with 51 percent of the vote, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced with 61 percent in her primary. No significant developments have shifted the race outlook in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic competitiveness in comparable contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-10
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-10
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
16%
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$5,772 Vol.
83%
Partito Democratico
$8,852 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 10th congressional district features a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating from the Cook Political Report and recent election margins favoring the party. Incumbent Michael McCaul's retirement created an open seat, but Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 2026 primary with 51 percent of the vote, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced with 61 percent in her primary. No significant developments have shifted the race outlook in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic competitiveness in comparable contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$14,624Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 10th congressional district features a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating from the Cook Political Report and recent election margins favoring the party. Incumbent Michael McCaul's retirement created an open seat, but Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 2026 primary with 51 percent of the vote, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced with 61 percent in her primary. No significant developments have shifted the race outlook in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic competitiveness in comparable contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,624Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 10th congressional district features a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating from the Cook Political Report and recent election margins favoring the party. Incumbent Michael McCaul's retirement created an open seat, but Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 2026 primary with 51 percent of the vote, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced with 61 percent in her primary. No significant developments have shifted the race outlook in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic competitiveness in comparable contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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