Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a commanding position in Georgia's 12th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning him a 90% implied probability against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and Allen's 60% margin in 2024, underpins this consensus. Allen secured his party's nomination with over 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced through a June runoff after a fragmented Democratic field. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, citing limited crossover appeal and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge in this eastern Georgia district stretching from Augusta to Statesboro. No major developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-12 House Election Winner
GA-12 House Election Winner
$35,616 Vol.
$35,616 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Allen (R)
90%
Ceretta Smith (D)
9%
$35,616 Vol.
$35,616 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Allen (R)
$19,155 Vol.
90%
Ceretta Smith (D)
$16,461 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a commanding position in Georgia's 12th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning him a 90% implied probability against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and Allen's 60% margin in 2024, underpins this consensus. Allen secured his party's nomination with over 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced through a June runoff after a fragmented Democratic field. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, citing limited crossover appeal and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge in this eastern Georgia district stretching from Augusta to Statesboro. No major developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,616Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a commanding position in Georgia's 12th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning him a 90% implied probability against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and Allen's 60% margin in 2024, underpins this consensus. Allen secured his party's nomination with over 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced through a June runoff after a fragmented Democratic field. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, citing limited crossover appeal and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge in this eastern Georgia district stretching from Augusta to Statesboro. No major developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,616Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a commanding position in Georgia's 12th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning him a 90% implied probability against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and Allen's 60% margin in 2024, underpins this consensus. Allen secured his party's nomination with over 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced through a June runoff after a fragmented Democratic field. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, citing limited crossover appeal and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge in this eastern Georgia district stretching from Augusta to Statesboro. No major developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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