Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 71.5% ahead of the September 27 vote because he topped the September 13 first round with 33.2% as the SPD nominee and secured additional endorsements from independent candidates and voter groups. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, placed second at 30.5% and sits at 26% in the market. The remaining field, including Heike Boldt and others who split the balance of votes, trades near zero or at generic 50% levels reflecting their eliminated status. Traders are pricing the runoff outcome based on Prange’s narrow first-round edge, the concentration of remaining support, and the short campaign window before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUlf Prange 72%
Jascha Rohr 26%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,965 Vol.
$22,965 Vol.

Ulf Prange
72%

Jascha Rohr
26%

Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%

Heike Boldt
<1%

Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%

Yakup Castur
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

Michael Stille
<1%

Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 72%
Jascha Rohr 26%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,965 Vol.
$22,965 Vol.

Ulf Prange
72%

Jascha Rohr
26%

Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%

Heike Boldt
<1%

Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%

Yakup Castur
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

Michael Stille
<1%

Ralf Butzin
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Risolutore
0x69c47de9d...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 71.5% ahead of the September 27 vote because he topped the September 13 first round with 33.2% as the SPD nominee and secured additional endorsements from independent candidates and voter groups. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, placed second at 30.5% and sits at 26% in the market. The remaining field, including Heike Boldt and others who split the balance of votes, trades near zero or at generic 50% levels reflecting their eliminated status. Traders are pricing the runoff outcome based on Prange’s narrow first-round edge, the concentration of remaining support, and the short campaign window before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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