The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next Senate composition after the current CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each holding competitive shares and no single bloc near a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD arrangement has faced criticism over infrastructure issues, including a prolonged December power outage. Coalition talks after the vote are expected to focus on centrist or left-leaning combinations, consistent with the long-standing cross-party exclusion of the AfD. A late finance senator replacement in July and national political trends add modest volatility to the final campaign period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
31 dic 2026
Verdi
88%
SPD
85%
Linke
54%
CDU
43%
AfD
6%
FDP
5%
BSW
3%
FW
3%
$2,688 Vol.
Verdi
$83 Vol.
88%
SPD
$104 Vol.
85%
Linke
$239 Vol.
54%
CDU
$165 Vol.
43%
AfD
$1,098 Vol.
6%
FDP
$146 Vol.
5%
BSW
$280 Vol.
3%
FW
$573 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next Senate composition after the current CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each holding competitive shares and no single bloc near a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD arrangement has faced criticism over infrastructure issues, including a prolonged December power outage. Coalition talks after the vote are expected to focus on centrist or left-leaning combinations, consistent with the long-standing cross-party exclusion of the AfD. A late finance senator replacement in July and national political trends add modest volatility to the final campaign period.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,688Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next Senate composition after the current CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each holding competitive shares and no single bloc near a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD arrangement has faced criticism over infrastructure issues, including a prolonged December power outage. Coalition talks after the vote are expected to focus on centrist or left-leaning combinations, consistent with the long-standing cross-party exclusion of the AfD. A late finance senator replacement in July and national political trends add modest volatility to the final campaign period.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Volume
$2,688Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next Senate composition after the current CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each holding competitive shares and no single bloc near a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD arrangement has faced criticism over infrastructure issues, including a prolonged December power outage. Coalition talks after the vote are expected to focus on centrist or left-leaning combinations, consistent with the long-standing cross-party exclusion of the AfD. A late finance senator replacement in July and national political trends add modest volatility to the final campaign period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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