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icon for Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?

Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?

icon for Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?

Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?

In aumento

84% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

In aumento

84% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**High trader consensus for increased voter turnout in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election stems from Germany's super election year, featuring multiple concurrent Landtag votes that amplify national media focus and mobilization efforts.** Recent state contests, including Baden-Württemberg's March election, recorded notable rises in participation amid competitive multi-party dynamics and expanded eligibility rules in some jurisdictions. In Berlin, a fragmented polling landscape involving CDU-SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD underscores coalition uncertainty and policy debates under the current Wegner government, factors historically linked to greater engagement. Traders appear to weigh these catalysts—heightened visibility, campaign intensity, and precedent from parallel 2026 races—against baseline participation levels from the prior cycle, producing the strong implied probability for an uptick.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**High trader consensus for increased voter turnout in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election stems from Germany's super election year, featuring multiple concurrent Landtag votes that amplify national media focus and mobilization efforts.** Recent state contests, including Baden-Württemberg's March election, recorded notable rises in participation amid competitive multi-party dynamics and expanded eligibility rules in some jurisdictions. In Berlin, a fragmented polling landscape involving CDU-SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD underscores coalition uncertainty and policy debates under the current Wegner government, factors historically linked to greater engagement. Traders appear to weigh these catalysts—heightened visibility, campaign intensity, and precedent from parallel 2026 races—against baseline participation levels from the prior cycle, producing the strong implied probability for an uptick.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).

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"Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?" è un mercato predittivo giornaliero su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni su se il prezzo di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza? finirà più alto ("Su") o più basso ("Giù") rispetto al suo prezzo di apertura nella finestra giornaliero specificata nel titolo. La probabilità attuale del mercato è 84% per "In aumento". Un prezzo di 84% significa che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 84% a quell’esito. I prezzi si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader reagiscono ai movimenti di prezzo live di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?. Le azioni nell’esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?" è un mercato attivo a breve termine su Polymarket. Il volume di trading può accumularsi rapidamente man mano che la finestra giornaliero progredisce — entra presto per contribuire a stabilire le quote prima che questa finestra si chiuda.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?", decidi se credi che il prezzo di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza? a mezzogiorno ET il September 20 sarà più alto ("Su") o più basso ("Giù") rispetto al prezzo di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza? a mezzogiorno ET il August 6. Compra "Su" se pensi che il prezzo salirà da un giorno all’altro, o "Giù" se pensi che scenderà. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se l’esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione, ogni azione paga $1,00. Se errato, le azioni valgono $0.

La probabilità attuale per "Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?" è 84% per "In aumento", il che significa che la comunità Polymarket assegna attualmente una probabilità di 84% che il prezzo di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza? finisca in aumento in questa finestra giornaliero. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader reagiscono ai dati di prezzo live di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?. In un’intera giornata, le quote riflettono il sentimento in evoluzione man mano che l’azione di prezzo della giornata si sviluppa. Controlla frequentemente o fai trading ora prima che la finestra si chiuda.

Il mercato "Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza?" si risolve in base a un confronto del prezzo di Elezioni statali a Berlino: aumento o diminuzione dell'affluenza? a mezzogiorno ET il September 20 rispetto a mezzogiorno ET il August 6, usando i prezzi di chiusura della candela di 1 minuto Binance BERLIN-STATE-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT. Se il prezzo a mezzogiorno del September 20 è più alto, l’esito è "Su"; se più basso, "Giù"; se uguale, il mercato si risolve 50-50. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione e la fonte dati nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.