**Trader consensus at 99.4% for higher turnout reflects structural growth in the eligible electorate ahead of the 20 September 2026 Berlin state election.** The number of registered voters rose to roughly 2.49 million from about 2.43 million in the 2023 repeat election, driven by increased naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Midday reports showed participation already running well ahead of 2023 levels, consistent with a competitive multi-party contest featuring gains for Die Linke and AfD alongside losses for the CDU, SPD, and Greens. These factors raised mobilization across the spectrum and produced a final preliminary turnout of 74.2%, an 11.3-point increase. The only remaining variables are final certification of postal and late-counted ballots or minor adjustments in the official report, neither of which is expected to reverse the direction of the change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIn aumento
99% probabilità
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
20 set 2026
In aumento
99% probabilità
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
20 set 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**Trader consensus at 99.4% for higher turnout reflects structural growth in the eligible electorate ahead of the 20 September 2026 Berlin state election.** The number of registered voters rose to roughly 2.49 million from about 2.43 million in the 2023 repeat election, driven by increased naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Midday reports showed participation already running well ahead of 2023 levels, consistent with a competitive multi-party contest featuring gains for Die Linke and AfD alongside losses for the CDU, SPD, and Greens. These factors raised mobilization across the spectrum and produced a final preliminary turnout of 74.2%, an 11.3-point increase. The only remaining variables are final certification of postal and late-counted ballots or minor adjustments in the official report, neither of which is expected to reverse the direction of the change.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,760Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**Trader consensus at 99.4% for higher turnout reflects structural growth in the eligible electorate ahead of the 20 September 2026 Berlin state election.** The number of registered voters rose to roughly 2.49 million from about 2.43 million in the 2023 repeat election, driven by increased naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Midday reports showed participation already running well ahead of 2023 levels, consistent with a competitive multi-party contest featuring gains for Die Linke and AfD alongside losses for the CDU, SPD, and Greens. These factors raised mobilization across the spectrum and produced a final preliminary turnout of 74.2%, an 11.3-point increase. The only remaining variables are final certification of postal and late-counted ballots or minor adjustments in the official report, neither of which is expected to reverse the direction of the change.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$2,760Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 99.4% for higher turnout reflects structural growth in the eligible electorate ahead of the 20 September 2026 Berlin state election.** The number of registered voters rose to roughly 2.49 million from about 2.43 million in the 2023 repeat election, driven by increased naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Midday reports showed participation already running well ahead of 2023 levels, consistent with a competitive multi-party contest featuring gains for Die Linke and AfD alongside losses for the CDU, SPD, and Greens. These factors raised mobilization across the spectrum and produced a final preliminary turnout of 74.2%, an 11.3-point increase. The only remaining variables are final certification of postal and late-counted ballots or minor adjustments in the official report, neither of which is expected to reverse the direction of the change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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