Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis dominates trader consensus in Florida's 12th Congressional District House race, with markets implying a 90.5% GOP hold probability driven by the seat's longstanding Solid Republican Cook rating, Bilirakis's 71% prior general election margin, and family representation of the Tampa Bay area for over four decades. Recent FEC reports through March 31 highlight Bilirakis's $1 million-plus receipts and $435,000 cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Democratic primary entrant Christopher Irizarry and no-party-affiliation candidate Branden Scrivener. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, upcoming August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election favor continuity; disruptions like a Bilirakis scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though such flips in Solid R districts are rare historically.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-12
$12,643 Vol.
$12,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
91%
Partito Democratico
8%
$12,643 Vol.
$12,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$3,902 Vol.
91%
Partito Democratico
$8,741 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis dominates trader consensus in Florida's 12th Congressional District House race, with markets implying a 90.5% GOP hold probability driven by the seat's longstanding Solid Republican Cook rating, Bilirakis's 71% prior general election margin, and family representation of the Tampa Bay area for over four decades. Recent FEC reports through March 31 highlight Bilirakis's $1 million-plus receipts and $435,000 cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Democratic primary entrant Christopher Irizarry and no-party-affiliation candidate Branden Scrivener. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, upcoming August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election favor continuity; disruptions like a Bilirakis scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though such flips in Solid R districts are rare historically.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$12,643Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis dominates trader consensus in Florida's 12th Congressional District House race, with markets implying a 90.5% GOP hold probability driven by the seat's longstanding Solid Republican Cook rating, Bilirakis's 71% prior general election margin, and family representation of the Tampa Bay area for over four decades. Recent FEC reports through March 31 highlight Bilirakis's $1 million-plus receipts and $435,000 cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Democratic primary entrant Christopher Irizarry and no-party-affiliation candidate Branden Scrivener. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, upcoming August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election favor continuity; disruptions like a Bilirakis scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though such flips in Solid R districts are rare historically.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,643Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis dominates trader consensus in Florida's 12th Congressional District House race, with markets implying a 90.5% GOP hold probability driven by the seat's longstanding Solid Republican Cook rating, Bilirakis's 71% prior general election margin, and family representation of the Tampa Bay area for over four decades. Recent FEC reports through March 31 highlight Bilirakis's $1 million-plus receipts and $435,000 cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Democratic primary entrant Christopher Irizarry and no-party-affiliation candidate Branden Scrivener. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, upcoming August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election favor continuity; disruptions like a Bilirakis scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though such flips in Solid R districts are rare historically.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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