Florida’s 11th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent electoral history and voter composition that favor GOP candidates. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Daniel Webster drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in late August when businessman Joe Strada secured the nomination by a narrow 393-vote margin over former state senator Carey Baker following a recount. Democrat James Pericola won his party’s primary more decisively. With the general election set for November 3 and no subsequent polling or events materially altering the district’s baseline tilt, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee the large majority of implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-11
$19,505 Vol.
$19,505 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
15%
$19,505 Vol.
$19,505 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 11th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent electoral history and voter composition that favor GOP candidates. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Daniel Webster drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in late August when businessman Joe Strada secured the nomination by a narrow 393-vote margin over former state senator Carey Baker following a recount. Democrat James Pericola won his party’s primary more decisively. With the general election set for November 3 and no subsequent polling or events materially altering the district’s baseline tilt, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee the large majority of implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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