Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, reflecting consistent polls where AfD leads at 38%, well ahead of CDU's 25%. Recent INSA surveys from late March show AfD's dominance holding steady since January, with CDU entrenched second despite a slight dip, while BSW hovers near the 5% threshold at 5% and others trail far behind. The January election of CDU's Sven Schulze as Ministerpräsident replacing Reiner Haseloff has not altered this dynamic in eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where AfD's strength among voters disillusioned with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition underpins the wide gap. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could narrow margins, but current trends solidify CDU's position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCDU 86%
AfD 10%
BSW 2.9%
SPD 1.1%
$42,917 Vol.
$42,917 Vol.

CDU
86%

AfD
10%

BSW
3%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%

The Greens
<1%

The Left
<1%
CDU 86%
AfD 10%
BSW 2.9%
SPD 1.1%
$42,917 Vol.
$42,917 Vol.

CDU
86%

AfD
10%

BSW
3%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%

The Greens
<1%

The Left
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, reflecting consistent polls where AfD leads at 38%, well ahead of CDU's 25%. Recent INSA surveys from late March show AfD's dominance holding steady since January, with CDU entrenched second despite a slight dip, while BSW hovers near the 5% threshold at 5% and others trail far behind. The January election of CDU's Sven Schulze as Ministerpräsident replacing Reiner Haseloff has not altered this dynamic in eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where AfD's strength among voters disillusioned with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition underpins the wide gap. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could narrow margins, but current trends solidify CDU's position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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