Florida’s 6th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in the 2025 special election and prevailed in the August 2026 Republican primary, entering the November general as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Eric Yonce. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s voter registration edge, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence from targeted battlegrounds reinforce the 95.5% implied probability. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts show such reversals remain rare.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-06 House Election Winner
FL-06 House Election Winner
$14,376 Vol.
$14,376 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
6%
$14,376 Vol.
$14,376 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,856 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$9,520 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 6th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in the 2025 special election and prevailed in the August 2026 Republican primary, entering the November general as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Eric Yonce. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s voter registration edge, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence from targeted battlegrounds reinforce the 95.5% implied probability. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts show such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$14,376Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 6th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in the 2025 special election and prevailed in the August 2026 Republican primary, entering the November general as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Eric Yonce. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s voter registration edge, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence from targeted battlegrounds reinforce the 95.5% implied probability. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts show such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,376Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 6th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the seat in the 2025 special election and prevailed in the August 2026 Republican primary, entering the November general as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Eric Yonce. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s voter registration edge, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence from targeted battlegrounds reinforce the 95.5% implied probability. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts show such reversals remain rare.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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