NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in New York's North Country, where recent primaries settled the November matchup after longtime Rep. Elise Stefanik opted not to seek reelection. Anthony Constantino won the GOP nomination, while Blake Gendebien secured the Democratic nod. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in prior House and presidential contests underpin trader expectations for a GOP hold. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising challenges in this rural area further support the 78% Republican consensus, though the open-seat dynamic leaves room for shifts if national conditions or candidate performance diverge sharply before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
$49,383 Vol.
$49,383 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
78%
Partito Democratico
22%
$49,383 Vol.
$49,383 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$24,216 Vol.
78%
Partito Democratico
$25,167 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in New York's North Country, where recent primaries settled the November matchup after longtime Rep. Elise Stefanik opted not to seek reelection. Anthony Constantino won the GOP nomination, while Blake Gendebien secured the Democratic nod. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in prior House and presidential contests underpin trader expectations for a GOP hold. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising challenges in this rural area further support the 78% Republican consensus, though the open-seat dynamic leaves room for shifts if national conditions or candidate performance diverge sharply before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$49,383Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in New York's North Country, where recent primaries settled the November matchup after longtime Rep. Elise Stefanik opted not to seek reelection. Anthony Constantino won the GOP nomination, while Blake Gendebien secured the Democratic nod. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in prior House and presidential contests underpin trader expectations for a GOP hold. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising challenges in this rural area further support the 78% Republican consensus, though the open-seat dynamic leaves room for shifts if national conditions or candidate performance diverge sharply before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,383Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in New York's North Country, where recent primaries settled the November matchup after longtime Rep. Elise Stefanik opted not to seek reelection. Anthony Constantino won the GOP nomination, while Blake Gendebien secured the Democratic nod. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in prior House and presidential contests underpin trader expectations for a GOP hold. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising challenges in this rural area further support the 78% Republican consensus, though the open-seat dynamic leaves room for shifts if national conditions or candidate performance diverge sharply before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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