NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflected in consistent ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as a safe or solid hold for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against another House bid, shifting focus to the June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, who has drawn Trump support. Democratic primary contenders Stuart Amoriell and Blake Gendebien face steep structural barriers in a district that has backed Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee a clear advantage in the general while the Democratic side contends with limited path-to-victory scenarios absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
$24,037 Vol.
$24,037 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
77%
Partito Democratico
20%
$24,037 Vol.
$24,037 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$14,087 Vol.
77%
Partito Democratico
$9,950 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflected in consistent ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as a safe or solid hold for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against another House bid, shifting focus to the June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, who has drawn Trump support. Democratic primary contenders Stuart Amoriell and Blake Gendebien face steep structural barriers in a district that has backed Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee a clear advantage in the general while the Democratic side contends with limited path-to-victory scenarios absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,037Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflected in consistent ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as a safe or solid hold for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against another House bid, shifting focus to the June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, who has drawn Trump support. Democratic primary contenders Stuart Amoriell and Blake Gendebien face steep structural barriers in a district that has backed Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee a clear advantage in the general while the Democratic side contends with limited path-to-victory scenarios absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,037Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflected in consistent ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as a safe or solid hold for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against another House bid, shifting focus to the June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, who has drawn Trump support. Democratic primary contenders Stuart Amoriell and Blake Gendebien face steep structural barriers in a district that has backed Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee a clear advantage in the general while the Democratic side contends with limited path-to-victory scenarios absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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