Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 2024 general election margin of 61.6 percent. Cammack advanced through the August 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Seth Harp secured his party's nomination in a low-profile primary contest. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural and suburban composition that outweighs the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-cycle national Democratic surge, an unexpected scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the November 2026 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$28,896 Vol.
$28,896 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,896 Vol.
$28,896 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$11,576 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$17,320 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 2024 general election margin of 61.6 percent. Cammack advanced through the August 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Seth Harp secured his party's nomination in a low-profile primary contest. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural and suburban composition that outweighs the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-cycle national Democratic surge, an unexpected scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$28,896Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 2024 general election margin of 61.6 percent. Cammack advanced through the August 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Seth Harp secured his party's nomination in a low-profile primary contest. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural and suburban composition that outweighs the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-cycle national Democratic surge, an unexpected scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,896Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Kat Cammack's 2024 general election margin of 61.6 percent. Cammack advanced through the August 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Seth Harp secured his party's nomination in a low-profile primary contest. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural and suburban composition that outweighs the more Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-cycle national Democratic surge, an unexpected scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the November 2026 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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