**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,297 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,944 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35,241Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,241Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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