Brendan Boyle, the Democratic incumbent since 2019 in Pennsylvania’s Philadelphia-centered 2nd congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the seat’s consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of a well-funded or prominent Republican challenger in Jessica Arriaga. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and Boyle’s established fundraising and name recognition. With the general election still over a year away on November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected redistricting could introduce volatility, though current indicators show limited Republican investment or primary competition to alter the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
PA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$29,091 Vol.
$29,091 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$29,091 Vol.
$29,091 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$6,352 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$22,739 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brendan Boyle, the Democratic incumbent since 2019 in Pennsylvania’s Philadelphia-centered 2nd congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the seat’s consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of a well-funded or prominent Republican challenger in Jessica Arriaga. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and Boyle’s established fundraising and name recognition. With the general election still over a year away on November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected redistricting could introduce volatility, though current indicators show limited Republican investment or primary competition to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,091Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brendan Boyle, the Democratic incumbent since 2019 in Pennsylvania’s Philadelphia-centered 2nd congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the seat’s consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of a well-funded or prominent Republican challenger in Jessica Arriaga. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and Boyle’s established fundraising and name recognition. With the general election still over a year away on November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected redistricting could introduce volatility, though current indicators show limited Republican investment or primary competition to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,091Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brendan Boyle, the Democratic incumbent since 2019 in Pennsylvania’s Philadelphia-centered 2nd congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the seat’s consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of a well-funded or prominent Republican challenger in Jessica Arriaga. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and Boyle’s established fundraising and name recognition. With the general election still over a year away on November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected redistricting could introduce volatility, though current indicators show limited Republican investment or primary competition to alter the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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