Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a narrow edge in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a Bucks County-based seat with a slight Democratic lean that has favored him in recent cycles through moderate positioning and Problem Solvers Caucus work. Democrat Bob Harvie, the endorsed Bucks County commissioner, has raised visibility with Governor Josh Shapiro’s backing and criticism of national Republican policies, producing polling averages near 48-43 in Fitzpatrick’s favor. Trader consensus near 47.5% Republican reflects the district’s swing character, Fitzpatrick’s fundraising lead, and absence of major late-breaking events two months before the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from turnout in suburban battlegrounds, further polling on economic or federal issues, or campaign spending surges in the final stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
46%
Democratic Party
43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,146 Vol.
46%
Democratic Party
$3,141 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a narrow edge in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a Bucks County-based seat with a slight Democratic lean that has favored him in recent cycles through moderate positioning and Problem Solvers Caucus work. Democrat Bob Harvie, the endorsed Bucks County commissioner, has raised visibility with Governor Josh Shapiro’s backing and criticism of national Republican policies, producing polling averages near 48-43 in Fitzpatrick’s favor. Trader consensus near 47.5% Republican reflects the district’s swing character, Fitzpatrick’s fundraising lead, and absence of major late-breaking events two months before the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from turnout in suburban battlegrounds, further polling on economic or federal issues, or campaign spending surges in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,287Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a narrow edge in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a Bucks County-based seat with a slight Democratic lean that has favored him in recent cycles through moderate positioning and Problem Solvers Caucus work. Democrat Bob Harvie, the endorsed Bucks County commissioner, has raised visibility with Governor Josh Shapiro’s backing and criticism of national Republican policies, producing polling averages near 48-43 in Fitzpatrick’s favor. Trader consensus near 47.5% Republican reflects the district’s swing character, Fitzpatrick’s fundraising lead, and absence of major late-breaking events two months before the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from turnout in suburban battlegrounds, further polling on economic or federal issues, or campaign spending surges in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,287Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a narrow edge in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a Bucks County-based seat with a slight Democratic lean that has favored him in recent cycles through moderate positioning and Problem Solvers Caucus work. Democrat Bob Harvie, the endorsed Bucks County commissioner, has raised visibility with Governor Josh Shapiro’s backing and criticism of national Republican policies, producing polling averages near 48-43 in Fitzpatrick’s favor. Trader consensus near 47.5% Republican reflects the district’s swing character, Fitzpatrick’s fundraising lead, and absence of major late-breaking events two months before the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from turnout in suburban battlegrounds, further polling on economic or federal issues, or campaign spending surges in the final stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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