Trader consensus prices Democrats at 85.5% to capture Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, a sharp surge fueled by the April 21 statewide referendum on a constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps mid-decade. Markets imply 93% odds of passage, potentially shifting VA-02 from its current even partisan lean—per Cook PVI—and Lean Republican rating into Democratic territory by incorporating more favorable voter blocs in Coastal Virginia. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds strong fundraising but faces a crowded Democratic primary headlined by former Rep. Elaine Luria, backed by Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's endorsement and over $1 million raised. Absent polling, the DCCC's early target status underscores the battleground dynamics, with primary races set for August 4.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-02 House Election Winner
VA-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$283 Vol.
84%
Republican Party
$469 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 85.5% to capture Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, a sharp surge fueled by the April 21 statewide referendum on a constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps mid-decade. Markets imply 93% odds of passage, potentially shifting VA-02 from its current even partisan lean—per Cook PVI—and Lean Republican rating into Democratic territory by incorporating more favorable voter blocs in Coastal Virginia. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds strong fundraising but faces a crowded Democratic primary headlined by former Rep. Elaine Luria, backed by Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's endorsement and over $1 million raised. Absent polling, the DCCC's early target status underscores the battleground dynamics, with primary races set for August 4.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$752Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 85.5% to capture Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, a sharp surge fueled by the April 21 statewide referendum on a constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps mid-decade. Markets imply 93% odds of passage, potentially shifting VA-02 from its current even partisan lean—per Cook PVI—and Lean Republican rating into Democratic territory by incorporating more favorable voter blocs in Coastal Virginia. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds strong fundraising but faces a crowded Democratic primary headlined by former Rep. Elaine Luria, backed by Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's endorsement and over $1 million raised. Absent polling, the DCCC's early target status underscores the battleground dynamics, with primary races set for August 4.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$752Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 85.5% to capture Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, a sharp surge fueled by the April 21 statewide referendum on a constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps mid-decade. Markets imply 93% odds of passage, potentially shifting VA-02 from its current even partisan lean—per Cook PVI—and Lean Republican rating into Democratic territory by incorporating more favorable voter blocs in Coastal Virginia. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds strong fundraising but faces a crowded Democratic primary headlined by former Rep. Elaine Luria, backed by Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger's endorsement and over $1 million raised. Absent polling, the DCCC's early target status underscores the battleground dynamics, with primary races set for August 4.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti