The Democratic nominee holds an 82-84% implied probability in the VA-02 House race due to the rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a Hampton Roads district rated even or slightly Democratic-leaning on the partisan voting index after recent redistricting. Luria secured a decisive August primary victory, while Kiggans advanced unopposed, and forecasters classify the November contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic amid broader midterm dynamics. Recent polling shows a tight race, with fundraising and voter turnout in the military-influenced swing district remaining key variables that could shift outcomes before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-02 House Election Winner
VA-02 House Election Winner
$36,966 Vol.
$36,966 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
17%
$36,966 Vol.
$36,966 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$17,930 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$19,036 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 82-84% implied probability in the VA-02 House race due to the rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a Hampton Roads district rated even or slightly Democratic-leaning on the partisan voting index after recent redistricting. Luria secured a decisive August primary victory, while Kiggans advanced unopposed, and forecasters classify the November contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic amid broader midterm dynamics. Recent polling shows a tight race, with fundraising and voter turnout in the military-influenced swing district remaining key variables that could shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$36,966Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds an 82-84% implied probability in the VA-02 House race due to the rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a Hampton Roads district rated even or slightly Democratic-leaning on the partisan voting index after recent redistricting. Luria secured a decisive August primary victory, while Kiggans advanced unopposed, and forecasters classify the November contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic amid broader midterm dynamics. Recent polling shows a tight race, with fundraising and voter turnout in the military-influenced swing district remaining key variables that could shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,966Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds an 82-84% implied probability in the VA-02 House race due to the rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a Hampton Roads district rated even or slightly Democratic-leaning on the partisan voting index after recent redistricting. Luria secured a decisive August primary victory, while Kiggans advanced unopposed, and forecasters classify the November contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic amid broader midterm dynamics. Recent polling shows a tight race, with fundraising and voter turnout in the military-influenced swing district remaining key variables that could shift outcomes before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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