Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and produced an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing the baseline for trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr. consolidated support by winning the June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reinforced by Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand edge. A sustained national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unforeseen health development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's structural partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMD-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MD-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$12,396 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,784 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and produced an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing the baseline for trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr. consolidated support by winning the June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reinforced by Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand edge. A sustained national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unforeseen health development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's structural partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,179Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and produced an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing the baseline for trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr. consolidated support by winning the June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reinforced by Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand edge. A sustained national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unforeseen health development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's structural partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,179Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and produced an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing the baseline for trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr. consolidated support by winning the June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reinforced by Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand edge. A sustained national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unforeseen health development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's structural partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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