Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces minimal opposition in New York's 8th Congressional District, a Brooklyn-based seat with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Jeffries advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee, Lewis Mizrahi, enters the November 3 general election with limited visibility and resources. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A major scandal, health event affecting Jeffries, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$32,611 Vol.
$32,611 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$32,611 Vol.
$32,611 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$14,128 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,483 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces minimal opposition in New York's 8th Congressional District, a Brooklyn-based seat with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Jeffries advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee, Lewis Mizrahi, enters the November 3 general election with limited visibility and resources. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A major scandal, health event affecting Jeffries, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,611Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces minimal opposition in New York's 8th Congressional District, a Brooklyn-based seat with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Jeffries advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee, Lewis Mizrahi, enters the November 3 general election with limited visibility and resources. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A major scandal, health event affecting Jeffries, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,611Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces minimal opposition in New York's 8th Congressional District, a Brooklyn-based seat with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Jeffries advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican nominee, Lewis Mizrahi, enters the November 3 general election with limited visibility and resources. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A major scandal, health event affecting Jeffries, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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