Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s deep Republican tilt and the outcome of the June 23 primary. Redistricting shifted the district to northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber, producing an R+15 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Moore, a three-term incumbent endorsed by President Trump and House leadership, defeated state Representative Karianne Lisonbee in the Republican primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby along with minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$12,940 Vol.
$12,940 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$12,940 Vol.
$12,940 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,441 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$10,500 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s deep Republican tilt and the outcome of the June 23 primary. Redistricting shifted the district to northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber, producing an R+15 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Moore, a three-term incumbent endorsed by President Trump and House leadership, defeated state Representative Karianne Lisonbee in the Republican primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby along with minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$12,940Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s deep Republican tilt and the outcome of the June 23 primary. Redistricting shifted the district to northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber, producing an R+15 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Moore, a three-term incumbent endorsed by President Trump and House leadership, defeated state Representative Karianne Lisonbee in the Republican primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby along with minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,940Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s deep Republican tilt and the outcome of the June 23 primary. Redistricting shifted the district to northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber, producing an R+15 Partisan Voter Index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Moore, a three-term incumbent endorsed by President Trump and House leadership, defeated state Representative Karianne Lisonbee in the Republican primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby along with minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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