Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRaquel Lyra 64%
João Campos 35%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,065 Vol.
$49,065 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
62%
João Campos
35%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 64%
João Campos 35%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,065 Vol.
$49,065 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
$23,023 Vol.
62%
João Campos
$20,683 Vol.
35%
Ivan Moraes
$5,359 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$49,065Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$49,065Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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