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icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto

Samanda de Lula 44%

Sandro Pimentel 44%

Sonia Godeiro 44%

Styvenson Valentim 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Samanda de Lula 44%

Sandro Pimentel 44%

Sonia Godeiro 44%

Styvenson Valentim 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate election stems from a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders vying for two seats, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing a technical tie among the top four: incumbent Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, and Rafael Motta. Incumbency provides modest advantages to Valentim and Zenaide Maia, yet broader party coalitions, voter turnout dynamics in key regions, and undecided blocs have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. The market’s pricing reflects this uncertainty, with most named options clustered near even odds and lower probabilities assigned to longer shots. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or formal alliance announcements before October could shift momentum by clarifying voter preferences among the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate election stems from a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders vying for two seats, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing a technical tie among the top four: incumbent Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, and Rafael Motta. Incumbency provides modest advantages to Valentim and Zenaide Maia, yet broader party coalitions, voter turnout dynamics in key regions, and undecided blocs have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. The market’s pricing reflects this uncertainty, with most named options clustered near even odds and lower probabilities assigned to longer shots. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or formal alliance announcements before October could shift momentum by clarifying voter preferences among the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

46%
Sì
icon for Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

46%
icon for Pimenta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Pimenta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

44%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Samanda de Lula" a 45%, seguito da "Sandro Pimentel" a 45%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" è "Samanda de Lula" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sandro Pimentel" a 45%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.