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icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Pimenta 32%

Renato Jaguarão 28%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Pimenta 32%

Renato Jaguarão 28%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$110 Vol.

26%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$147 Vol.

22%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$69 Vol.

32%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$69 Vol.

28%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$66 Vol.

23%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$69 Vol.

22%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$69 Vol.

22%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$69 Vol.

16%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$69 Vol.

15%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$69 Vol.

15%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$102 Vol.

10%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$121 Vol.

9%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$155 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates and no dominant frontrunner ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent July Quaest polling showed Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) at 12 percent, followed closely by Germano Rigotto (MDB) and Paulo Pimenta (PT) near 9 percent, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 7 percent, and others in single digits, underscoring low name recognition and vote splitting across parties including PSDB, PSD, and PL. The absence of an incumbent seeking re-election has opened the contest, while formal campaigning has yet to begin and coalition negotiations continue. This uncertainty sustains balanced probabilities across leading contenders, with separation likely hinging on upcoming surveys, alliances, and turnout patterns in the state’s two-seat contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,180
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates and no dominant frontrunner ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent July Quaest polling showed Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) at 12 percent, followed closely by Germano Rigotto (MDB) and Paulo Pimenta (PT) near 9 percent, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 7 percent, and others in single digits, underscoring low name recognition and vote splitting across parties including PSDB, PSD, and PL. The absence of an incumbent seeking re-election has opened the contest, while formal campaigning has yet to begin and coalition negotiations continue. This uncertainty sustains balanced probabilities across leading contenders, with separation likely hinging on upcoming surveys, alliances, and turnout patterns in the state’s two-seat contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,180
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Luciano do MLB otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Luciano do MLB otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

38%
Sì
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

62%
icon for Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

39%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Pimenta" a 32%, seguito da "Renato Jaguarão" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 32¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto" è "Pimenta" a 32%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Renato Jaguarão" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.