Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the market at 59.5% as the October 4, 2026, first-round vote for Ceará governor approaches, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 39%. Multiple September polls show a technical tie or narrow Ciro edge in the first round, with runoffs often splitting similarly or favoring the former governor by small margins within error ranges. The race centers on voter assessments of Elmano's record versus Ciro's prior experience in the role, amid high undecided and blank shares. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão register low single digits and hold negligible market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Ciro's consistent polling performance and name recognition more heavily than the incumbent's organizational advantages in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 39%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$233,427 Vol.
$233,427 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
60%
Elmano de Freitas
39%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 39%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$233,427 Vol.
$233,427 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$109,173 Vol.
60%
Elmano de Freitas
$53,374 Vol.
39%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the market at 59.5% as the October 4, 2026, first-round vote for Ceará governor approaches, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 39%. Multiple September polls show a technical tie or narrow Ciro edge in the first round, with runoffs often splitting similarly or favoring the former governor by small margins within error ranges. The race centers on voter assessments of Elmano's record versus Ciro's prior experience in the role, amid high undecided and blank shares. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão register low single digits and hold negligible market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Ciro's consistent polling performance and name recognition more heavily than the incumbent's organizational advantages in the final weeks.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$233,427Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the market at 59.5% as the October 4, 2026, first-round vote for Ceará governor approaches, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 39%. Multiple September polls show a technical tie or narrow Ciro edge in the first round, with runoffs often splitting similarly or favoring the former governor by small margins within error ranges. The race centers on voter assessments of Elmano's record versus Ciro's prior experience in the role, amid high undecided and blank shares. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão register low single digits and hold negligible market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Ciro's consistent polling performance and name recognition more heavily than the incumbent's organizational advantages in the final weeks.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$233,427Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the market at 59.5% as the October 4, 2026, first-round vote for Ceará governor approaches, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 39%. Multiple September polls show a technical tie or narrow Ciro edge in the first round, with runoffs often splitting similarly or favoring the former governor by small margins within error ranges. The race centers on voter assessments of Elmano's record versus Ciro's prior experience in the role, amid high undecided and blank shares. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão register low single digits and hold negligible market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Ciro's consistent polling performance and name recognition more heavily than the incumbent's organizational advantages in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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