Ciro Gomes holds the lead in trader sentiment for the Ceará governor race due to his consistent edge in recent first-round polling and a broad center-right coalition that includes local PL support, contrasting with Elmano de Freitas’s narrower PT-backed base. Multiple September surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, showed Ciro at 45-46% against Elmano’s 34-37%, though gaps have narrowed since mid-August as the incumbent gained ground amid free airtime and attacks tying Ciro to national right-wing figures. Second-round simulations frequently favor Ciro by wider margins, reflecting his higher name recognition and lower rejection ratings in a state where the outgoing administration maintains solid approval. Minor candidates remain marginal, leaving the outcome centered on these two frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$232,877 Vol.
$232,877 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
62%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$232,877 Vol.
$232,877 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$109,043 Vol.
62%
Elmano de Freitas
$52,954 Vol.
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the lead in trader sentiment for the Ceará governor race due to his consistent edge in recent first-round polling and a broad center-right coalition that includes local PL support, contrasting with Elmano de Freitas’s narrower PT-backed base. Multiple September surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, showed Ciro at 45-46% against Elmano’s 34-37%, though gaps have narrowed since mid-August as the incumbent gained ground amid free airtime and attacks tying Ciro to national right-wing figures. Second-round simulations frequently favor Ciro by wider margins, reflecting his higher name recognition and lower rejection ratings in a state where the outgoing administration maintains solid approval. Minor candidates remain marginal, leaving the outcome centered on these two frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$232,877Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the lead in trader sentiment for the Ceará governor race due to his consistent edge in recent first-round polling and a broad center-right coalition that includes local PL support, contrasting with Elmano de Freitas’s narrower PT-backed base. Multiple September surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, showed Ciro at 45-46% against Elmano’s 34-37%, though gaps have narrowed since mid-August as the incumbent gained ground amid free airtime and attacks tying Ciro to national right-wing figures. Second-round simulations frequently favor Ciro by wider margins, reflecting his higher name recognition and lower rejection ratings in a state where the outgoing administration maintains solid approval. Minor candidates remain marginal, leaving the outcome centered on these two frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$232,877Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds the lead in trader sentiment for the Ceará governor race due to his consistent edge in recent first-round polling and a broad center-right coalition that includes local PL support, contrasting with Elmano de Freitas’s narrower PT-backed base. Multiple September surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, showed Ciro at 45-46% against Elmano’s 34-37%, though gaps have narrowed since mid-August as the incumbent gained ground amid free airtime and attacks tying Ciro to national right-wing figures. Second-round simulations frequently favor Ciro by wider margins, reflecting his higher name recognition and lower rejection ratings in a state where the outgoing administration maintains solid approval. Minor candidates remain marginal, leaving the outcome centered on these two frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti