Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 10%
Camilo Santana 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,092 Vol.
$74,092 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
10%
Camilo Santana
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 10%
Camilo Santana 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,092 Vol.
$74,092 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$43,983 Vol.
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$10,666 Vol.
10%
Camilo Santana
$4,561 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,208 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$74,092Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$74,092Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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