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icon for Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno

Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno

icon for Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno

Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno

Jérôme Guedj 44%

Olivier Faure 26%

Philippe Brun 26%

Raphaël Glucksmann 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Jérôme Guedj 44%

Olivier Faure 26%

Philippe Brun 26%

Raphaël Glucksmann 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Philippe Brun

Philippe Brun

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Emmanuel Maurel

Emmanuel Maurel

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$19 Vol.

19%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested French Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential nominee features multiple declared candidates including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Raphaël Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, with trader consensus reflecting a tight first-round field ahead of the October 9-10 vote. Recent developments include the August agreement between the Parti socialiste and Place publique on electronic voting rules, a 15-euro participation fee, and candidate declaration deadlines through mid-September, alongside internal tensions over potential broader inclusion and debate formats. These factors sustain competitive positioning among the leading contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated broad support within the social-democratic electorate. Scheduled events such as final candidate validations and any late endorsements could shift momentum before ballots open.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$19
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested French Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential nominee features multiple declared candidates including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Raphaël Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, with trader consensus reflecting a tight first-round field ahead of the October 9-10 vote. Recent developments include the August agreement between the Parti socialiste and Place publique on electronic voting rules, a 15-euro participation fee, and candidate declaration deadlines through mid-September, alongside internal tensions over potential broader inclusion and debate formats. These factors sustain competitive positioning among the leading contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated broad support within the social-democratic electorate. Scheduled events such as final candidate validations and any late endorsements could shift momentum before ballots open.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$19
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jérôme Guedj" a 44%, seguito da "Olivier Faure" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno" è "Jérôme Guedj" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Olivier Faure" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primarie socialiste francesi: vincitore del primo turno" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.