Recent polling consistently places Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party in the lead or near-tie with Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with surveys from early September showing 22–25 projected seats. This positioning stems from Eisenkot’s security credentials as former IDF chief of staff, the party’s recent candidate-list presentation featuring high-profile figures such as ex-Shin Bet director Yoram Cohen, and voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate. Traders appear to view these trends, alongside ongoing bloc arithmetic that favors the Zionist opposition reaching a potential majority, as supporting a vote share concentrated in the low-to-mid 20 percent range. Uncertainties around turnout, smaller-party threshold crossings, and any late consolidation among opposition lists continue to influence the distribution of probabilities across the listed bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni in Israele: Yashar vota?
Elezioni in Israele: Yashar vota?
20-22% 43%
18-20% 43%
22-24% 43%
24%+ 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<16%
25%
16-18%
25%
18-20%
43%
20-22%
43%
22-24%
43%
24%+
43%
20-22% 43%
18-20% 43%
22-24% 43%
24%+ 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<16%
$0 Vol.
25%
16-18%
$0 Vol.
25%
18-20%
$0 Vol.
43%
20-22%
$0 Vol.
43%
22-24%
$0 Vol.
43%
24%+
$0 Vol.
43%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling consistently places Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party in the lead or near-tie with Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with surveys from early September showing 22–25 projected seats. This positioning stems from Eisenkot’s security credentials as former IDF chief of staff, the party’s recent candidate-list presentation featuring high-profile figures such as ex-Shin Bet director Yoram Cohen, and voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate. Traders appear to view these trends, alongside ongoing bloc arithmetic that favors the Zionist opposition reaching a potential majority, as supporting a vote share concentrated in the low-to-mid 20 percent range. Uncertainties around turnout, smaller-party threshold crossings, and any late consolidation among opposition lists continue to influence the distribution of probabilities across the listed bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling consistently places Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party in the lead or near-tie with Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with surveys from early September showing 22–25 projected seats. This positioning stems from Eisenkot’s security credentials as former IDF chief of staff, the party’s recent candidate-list presentation featuring high-profile figures such as ex-Shin Bet director Yoram Cohen, and voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate. Traders appear to view these trends, alongside ongoing bloc arithmetic that favors the Zionist opposition reaching a potential majority, as supporting a vote share concentrated in the low-to-mid 20 percent range. Uncertainties around turnout, smaller-party threshold crossings, and any late consolidation among opposition lists continue to influence the distribution of probabilities across the listed bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party in the lead or near-tie with Likud ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with surveys from early September showing 22–25 projected seats. This positioning stems from Eisenkot’s security credentials as former IDF chief of staff, the party’s recent candidate-list presentation featuring high-profile figures such as ex-Shin Bet director Yoram Cohen, and voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate. Traders appear to view these trends, alongside ongoing bloc arithmetic that favors the Zionist opposition reaching a potential majority, as supporting a vote share concentrated in the low-to-mid 20 percent range. Uncertainties around turnout, smaller-party threshold crossings, and any late consolidation among opposition lists continue to influence the distribution of probabilities across the listed bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti