Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast targeting the Kolodiazi area to eliminate a Russian bridgehead west of the Zherebets River and disrupt advances toward Lyman and Sloviansk. Reports from late August 2026 highlighted Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps operations approaching from the north and south, with analysts noting risks to Russian positions in the salient. Ukrainian spokespeople have repeatedly denied Russian control of the village amid ongoing Russian assault and infiltration attempts, while broader Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere liberated hundreds of square kilometers earlier in 2026. Trader assessments of re-entry by the market deadline reflect the fluid frontline dynamics, Russian logistical pressures, and Ukrainian efforts to stabilize the sector through localized gains.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Ucraina rientrerà a Kolodiazi entro...?
31 ottobre
56%
31 dicembre
70%
$5,238 Vol.
31 ottobre
56%
31 dicembre
70%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast targeting the Kolodiazi area to eliminate a Russian bridgehead west of the Zherebets River and disrupt advances toward Lyman and Sloviansk. Reports from late August 2026 highlighted Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps operations approaching from the north and south, with analysts noting risks to Russian positions in the salient. Ukrainian spokespeople have repeatedly denied Russian control of the village amid ongoing Russian assault and infiltration attempts, while broader Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere liberated hundreds of square kilometers earlier in 2026. Trader assessments of re-entry by the market deadline reflect the fluid frontline dynamics, Russian logistical pressures, and Ukrainian efforts to stabilize the sector through localized gains.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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