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Politica·Premi

Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026

Market icon
Politica·Premi

Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.8%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa Leone XIV 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,704,760 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.8%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa Leone XIV 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,704,760 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$123,804 Vol.

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$418,521 Vol.

9%

Donald Trump vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Donald Trump

$2,507,944 Vol.

7%

Papa Leone XIV vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Papa Leone XIV

$602,090 Vol.

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$507,576 Vol.

3%

L'UNRWA vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

UNRWA

$1,806,580 Vol.

3%

La Corte internazionale di giustizia vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Corte internazionale di giustizia

$665,936 Vol.

3%

Xi Jinping vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Xi Jinping

$888,268 Vol.

3%

Greta Thunberg vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,048,264 Vol.

2%

Mohammed bin Salman vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$630,009 Vol.

2%

Narendra Modi vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Narendra Modi

$394,524 Vol.

2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$658,521 Vol.

1%

Khaled Mashal vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Khaled Mashal

$265,274 Vol.

1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$491,383 Vol.

1%

Charlie Kirk vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Charlie Kirk

$687,902 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Elon Musk

$553,225 Vol.

1%

António Guterres vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

António Guterres

$193,009 Vol.

1%

Vladimir Putin vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Vladimir Putin

$541,349 Vol.

1%

Julian Assange vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Julian Assange

$360,533 Vol.

1%

Benjamin Netanyahu vincerà il Premio Nobel per la Pace nel 2026? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$360,274 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim frontrunner edge at 9.5% implied probability on her steadfast anti-Putin activism and Navalny legacy, closely trailed by Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who credited Ukraine's resistance with safeguarding European democracy. Donald Trump lingers at 6.5% amid speculation over U.S.-led ceasefires in Ukraine or Gaza, while new Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% stems from his high-profile April 11 Vatican Prayer Vigil for Peace and anti-war messaging. Differentiators include verifiable nominations and diplomatic breakthroughs, but the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting—historically favoring post-conflict resolution—keeps uncertainty high ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$13,704,760
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim frontrunner edge at 9.5% implied probability on her steadfast anti-Putin activism and Navalny legacy, closely trailed by Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who credited Ukraine's resistance with safeguarding European democracy. Donald Trump lingers at 6.5% amid speculation over U.S.-led ceasefires in Ukraine or Gaza, while new Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% stems from his high-profile April 11 Vatican Prayer Vigil for Peace and anti-war messaging. Differentiators include verifiable nominations and diplomatic breakthroughs, but the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting—historically favoring post-conflict resolution—keeps uncertainty high ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$13,704,760
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Yulia Navalnaya" a 10%, seguito da "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 10¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 10% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" ha generato $13.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 16, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" è "Yulia Navalnaya" a 10%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 10% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.