Vladimir Putin's commanding 87% victory in the March 2024 presidential election, securing his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.5% for his removal by year-end 2026, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to permit rule until 2036. Absent any verified health declines, elite defections, or coup signals in recent months—including his December 2025 end-of-year press conference affirming war stances—no catalysts have emerged to challenge his authority amid ongoing Ukraine conflict pressures. Speculative commentary on succession persists, but traders discount it against historical patterns of consolidated Kremlin control; abrupt shifts would require sudden events like a medical crisis or internal power struggle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPutin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$3,973,596 Vol.
$3,973,596 Vol.
Sì
$3,973,596 Vol.
$3,973,596 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's commanding 87% victory in the March 2024 presidential election, securing his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 90.5% for his removal by year-end 2026, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to permit rule until 2036. Absent any verified health declines, elite defections, or coup signals in recent months—including his December 2025 end-of-year press conference affirming war stances—no catalysts have emerged to challenge his authority amid ongoing Ukraine conflict pressures. Speculative commentary on succession persists, but traders discount it against historical patterns of consolidated Kremlin control; abrupt shifts would require sudden events like a medical crisis or internal power struggle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti