Trader consensus prices "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, highlighting significant barriers to all required outcomes—ceasefire, Ukraine forgoing NATO membership, and a signed peace deal—by December 31, 2026. The recent Orthodox Easter truce collapsed within days, with both sides reporting thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery, underscoring weak commitment to de-escalation amid ongoing Russian offensives that killed three civilians on April 16. Ukraine's chief negotiator Kyrylo Budanov cited progress but flagged territorial disputes as the core matchup issue, while Russia's insistence on maximalist terms stalls broader talks. Without breakthroughs in these rivalry-defining fronts, the parlay remains a longshot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$406,174 Vol.
$406,174 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$406,174 Vol.
$406,174 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus prices "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, highlighting significant barriers to all required outcomes—ceasefire, Ukraine forgoing NATO membership, and a signed peace deal—by December 31, 2026. The recent Orthodox Easter truce collapsed within days, with both sides reporting thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery, underscoring weak commitment to de-escalation amid ongoing Russian offensives that killed three civilians on April 16. Ukraine's chief negotiator Kyrylo Budanov cited progress but flagged territorial disputes as the core matchup issue, while Russia's insistence on maximalist terms stalls broader talks. Without breakthroughs in these rivalry-defining fronts, the parlay remains a longshot.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$406,174Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus prices "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, highlighting significant barriers to all required outcomes—ceasefire, Ukraine forgoing NATO membership, and a signed peace deal—by December 31, 2026. The recent Orthodox Easter truce collapsed within days, with both sides reporting thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery, underscoring weak commitment to de-escalation amid ongoing Russian offensives that killed three civilians on April 16. Ukraine's chief negotiator Kyrylo Budanov cited progress but flagged territorial disputes as the core matchup issue, while Russia's insistence on maximalist terms stalls broader talks. Without breakthroughs in these rivalry-defining fronts, the parlay remains a longshot.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$406,174Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 83% for the Russia x Ukraine peace parlay, highlighting significant barriers to all required outcomes—ceasefire, Ukraine forgoing NATO membership, and a signed peace deal—by December 31, 2026. The recent Orthodox Easter truce collapsed within days, with both sides reporting thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery, underscoring weak commitment to de-escalation amid ongoing Russian offensives that killed three civilians on April 16. Ukraine's chief negotiator Kyrylo Budanov cited progress but flagged territorial disputes as the core matchup issue, while Russia's insistence on maximalist terms stalls broader talks. Without breakthroughs in these rivalry-defining fronts, the parlay remains a longshot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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