Ukraine's ongoing conflict with Russia shows no near-term resolution as of August 2026, with stalled negotiations since early 2025 focused on territorial concessions in Donbas and other regions that Ukrainian public opinion polls indicate a majority opposes. U.S.-led talks under the Trump administration targeted a possible March or May 2026 framework including simultaneous elections and a referendum, yet key gaps persist on security guarantees, borders, and Russian demands, pushing expectations that fighting will extend into 2027. NATO's continued military commitments and Ukraine's martial law restrictions further limit the conditions needed for a binding national vote on any deal. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these barriers to a completed referendum passing before the 2027 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Il referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Sì
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing conflict with Russia shows no near-term resolution as of August 2026, with stalled negotiations since early 2025 focused on territorial concessions in Donbas and other regions that Ukrainian public opinion polls indicate a majority opposes. U.S.-led talks under the Trump administration targeted a possible March or May 2026 framework including simultaneous elections and a referendum, yet key gaps persist on security guarantees, borders, and Russian demands, pushing expectations that fighting will extend into 2027. NATO's continued military commitments and Ukraine's martial law restrictions further limit the conditions needed for a binding national vote on any deal. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these barriers to a completed referendum passing before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$62,400Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing conflict with Russia shows no near-term resolution as of August 2026, with stalled negotiations since early 2025 focused on territorial concessions in Donbas and other regions that Ukrainian public opinion polls indicate a majority opposes. U.S.-led talks under the Trump administration targeted a possible March or May 2026 framework including simultaneous elections and a referendum, yet key gaps persist on security guarantees, borders, and Russian demands, pushing expectations that fighting will extend into 2027. NATO's continued military commitments and Ukraine's martial law restrictions further limit the conditions needed for a binding national vote on any deal. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these barriers to a completed referendum passing before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,400Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's ongoing conflict with Russia shows no near-term resolution as of August 2026, with stalled negotiations since early 2025 focused on territorial concessions in Donbas and other regions that Ukrainian public opinion polls indicate a majority opposes. U.S.-led talks under the Trump administration targeted a possible March or May 2026 framework including simultaneous elections and a referendum, yet key gaps persist on security guarantees, borders, and Russian demands, pushing expectations that fighting will extend into 2027. NATO's continued military commitments and Ukraine's martial law restrictions further limit the conditions needed for a binding national vote on any deal. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these barriers to a completed referendum passing before the 2027 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti