Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled US-brokered negotiations with Russia, as no official scheduling has occurred by mid-April 2026 despite February reports of President Zelenskyy planning an announcement tied to presidential elections. Ukrainian authorities insist on a sustained ceasefire and six months of security guarantees beforehand, citing martial law prohibitions on wartime voting and NGO warnings that such a referendum would be unlawful without full territorial control. Recent polling shows 61% public support for potential territorial compromises, but ongoing Russian advances and broken ceasefires like Easter have delayed progress. Upcoming diplomatic talks in Geneva could shift dynamics, though constitutional barriers and parliamentary resolutions upholding continuous leadership under martial law pose significant hurdles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoReferendum per la pace in Ucraina previsto per...?
Referendum per la pace in Ucraina previsto per...?
$265,872 Vol.
June 30
7%
September 30
18%
December 31
16%
$265,872 Vol.
June 30
7%
September 30
18%
December 31
16%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a Ukraine peace referendum remains low amid stalled US-brokered negotiations with Russia, as no official scheduling has occurred by mid-April 2026 despite February reports of President Zelenskyy planning an announcement tied to presidential elections. Ukrainian authorities insist on a sustained ceasefire and six months of security guarantees beforehand, citing martial law prohibitions on wartime voting and NGO warnings that such a referendum would be unlawful without full territorial control. Recent polling shows 61% public support for potential territorial compromises, but ongoing Russian advances and broken ceasefires like Easter have delayed progress. Upcoming diplomatic talks in Geneva could shift dynamics, though constitutional barriers and parliamentary resolutions upholding continuous leadership under martial law pose significant hurdles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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