Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4%, reflecting high confidence in political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Martial law, extended since February 2022, suspends elections and bolsters security forces like the SBU, which previously foiled pro-Russian plots in 2024; no verifiable reports of organized internal challenges have emerged in the past 30 days despite conscription protests and mobilization tensions. Military focus remains on frontline defense in Donetsk and Luhansk, with low morale contained short of rebellion. Realistic shifts could stem from major battlefield collapse, elite defections, or external escalation, though structural controls and international backing make these improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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30 giu 2026
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30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4%, reflecting high confidence in political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Martial law, extended since February 2022, suspends elections and bolsters security forces like the SBU, which previously foiled pro-Russian plots in 2024; no verifiable reports of organized internal challenges have emerged in the past 30 days despite conscription protests and mobilization tensions. Military focus remains on frontline defense in Donetsk and Luhansk, with low morale contained short of rebellion. Realistic shifts could stem from major battlefield collapse, elite defections, or external escalation, though structural controls and international backing make these improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$8,846Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4%, reflecting high confidence in political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Martial law, extended since February 2022, suspends elections and bolsters security forces like the SBU, which previously foiled pro-Russian plots in 2024; no verifiable reports of organized internal challenges have emerged in the past 30 days despite conscription protests and mobilization tensions. Military focus remains on frontline defense in Donetsk and Luhansk, with low morale contained short of rebellion. Realistic shifts could stem from major battlefield collapse, elite defections, or external escalation, though structural controls and international backing make these improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,846Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4%, reflecting high confidence in political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Martial law, extended since February 2022, suspends elections and bolsters security forces like the SBU, which previously foiled pro-Russian plots in 2024; no verifiable reports of organized internal challenges have emerged in the past 30 days despite conscription protests and mobilization tensions. Military focus remains on frontline defense in Donetsk and Luhansk, with low morale contained short of rebellion. Realistic shifts could stem from major battlefield collapse, elite defections, or external escalation, though structural controls and international backing make these improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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