Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated anti-corruption investigations and senior military personnel changes, underpins the 97 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. January 2026 probes involving Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia produced external speculation but yielded no verified organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or open challenge to central directives. Loyalty structures and elite alignments ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have further stabilized the system without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$133,025 Vol.
$133,025 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$133,025 Vol.
$133,025 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated anti-corruption investigations and senior military personnel changes, underpins the 97 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. January 2026 probes involving Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia produced external speculation but yielded no verified organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or open challenge to central directives. Loyalty structures and elite alignments ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have further stabilized the system without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$133,025Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated anti-corruption investigations and senior military personnel changes, underpins the 97 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. January 2026 probes involving Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia produced external speculation but yielded no verified organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or open challenge to central directives. Loyalty structures and elite alignments ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have further stabilized the system without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$133,025Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated anti-corruption investigations and senior military personnel changes, underpins the 97 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. January 2026 probes involving Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia produced external speculation but yielded no verified organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or open challenge to central directives. Loyalty structures and elite alignments ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have further stabilized the system without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti